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  1. Mais Cedo
  2. Mineirausfall

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    The Century of the Self. Documentário da BBC, com legendas em Português. https://goo.gl/V7jW3w
  3. Mineirausfall

    Questões sobre a cobertura do FGC

    Mais informações sobre o registro dos investimentos na CETIP, por Seu Juquinha, Libertário e Hidden. https://www.muquiranas.com/sowell-e-o-chines-da-pastelaria-antagonista/#comment-59331
  4. Mineirausfall

    Questões sobre a cobertura do FGC

    Por Grande Abutre & Cia. https://www.muquiranas.com/sowell-e-o-chines-da-pastelaria-antagonista/#comment-59263 https://www.muquiranas.com/sowell-e-o-chines-da-pastelaria-antagonista/#comment-59291
  5. Mineirausfall

    G.E.E.L.E. -  Global Economics Extinction Level Event

    Poderiam as dívidas dos millennials provocar a G.E.E.L.E.? https://finance.yahoo.com/news/millennials-drag-us-economy-215146245.html https://www.iontuition.com/student-loans-cause-economic-recession/ As dívidas corporativas também viraram um monstro. https://www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/business/2018/11/20/two-big-reasons-there-really-might-be-recession/?noredirect=on https://www.gq.com/story/how-to-survive-the-next-financial-crisis/amp https://www.theatlantic.com/amp/article/576568/ Enfim, dívidas para tudo que é lado. https://seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4223654-age-debt-profit
  6. "Dalio has said that investors should consider placing 5 percent to 10 percent of their assets in gold as a hedge against political risks. One of Dalio’s main points, backed up by the rise in global debt, is that the entire world is “leveraged long.” Low interest rates fueled buybacks, acquisitions and increasing stock prices. That can’t last forever. Broadly, “You need to prepare for lower expected returns in the future,” Dalio said. “You can expect lower returns and more taxes. That’s going to be the nature of the beast.” The only answer, he said, is to try to balance portfolios." --- https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-11-19/elizabeth-warren-throws-down-the-gauntlet-on-leveraged-loans "But Warren says that further interest-rate increases from the Fed could doom the market: “Companies will face rising interest costs just as the economy starts to slow down.” It’s clear based on comments from top officials last week that they’re not in a rush and will continue to gradually tighten as long as the economy gives them a green light. That shouldn’t be back-breaking for companies with loans. She also warns that “Many of the loans are securitized and sold to investors, spreading the risk of default throughout the system.” In truth, the packaging helps insulate buyers from pockets of distress — again, as long as they’re buying the higher-quality tranches. The AAA and even AA rated portions have famously never defaulted, even during the worst of the recession. Of course, that period wasn’t exactly a shining moment for credit ratings. But Moody’s estimates that the average recovery rate on U.S. first-lien loans will probably decline to 61 percent in the next downturn, compared with 70 percent in 2008. That should still be more than enough to keep the top of the CLO structure whole. A crucial reason CLOs are unlikely to repeat the CDO fiasco is because the U.S. banking system is less exposed. That also means it’s largely out of the Fed’s jurisdiction. Like corporate bonds, much of the risk has been passed onto investors. And while large asset managers are certainly important, they’re not nearly as pivotal as the largest banks. At the end of the day, anyone buying leveraged loans or CLOs at this point is well aware of their risks. For now, it’s been a winning proposition: The S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index has returned 3.8 percent this year, compared with losses in just about every other fixed-income market. No one knows exactly when or how, but that momentum will fade at some point. But once that happens, don’t expect a 2008 redux. Believe it or not, markets might have actually learned a lesson." CLO - Collateralized Loan Obligation CDO - Collateralized Debt Obligation What is the difference between a collateralized debt obligation (CDO) and a collateralized loan obligation (CLO)? https://therealdeal.com/2018/03/02/the-clo-a-financial-crisis-bogeyman-is-back/ --- “The excesses are becoming visible. Leveraged lending hit a new high of $1.6 trillion last year, spreads over the interbank lending rate neared post crisis lows and lenders showed an unprecedented willingness to waive the usual protections. Just as in the high-yield bond market, covenants designed to prevent the most egregious behavior of borrowers were scrapped and investors took more on faith: Half of U.S. leveraged loans and 60% of Europe’s are ‘covenant-lite,’ according to the Institute of International Finance, a trade group.” “This is a market with a ton of cash chasing too few deals,” according to one major underwriter cited by the reporter. “It feels awfully frothy, going back to the days of 2006, 2007.” Investors should be worried about the CLO ticking time bomb. It clearly presents a similar danger as the CDO collapse caused in 2008. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4159460-clos-next-cdos --- "Critics that remain warn that CLOs weathered the financial crisis because they were invested in corporate, not consumer, debt. If corporate loans turn out to be the big problem in the next downturn, then CLOs may not prove as bulletproof as the last time around, especially after a number of years in which companies have been taking on more debt relative to their assets. Safeguards and covenants, too, appear to have weakened in corporate loans. All this comes when a growing number of investors are warning that the corporate loan market might be stretched. And remember, many people thought once upon a time that hedge funds, because they were hedged, wouldn’t lose money. That didn’t prove true. It won’t for CLOs, either." https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-08-15/clos-are-the-new-hedge-funds-plan-accordingly --- "It’s easier to assume the peak is close when the proverbial “mom and pop” investors are tempted to buy nontraditional investments, if they haven’t already. In fact, U.S. leveraged loan funds experienced their first weekly outflow since February in the period through July 4, snapping a 19 week-streak of inflows, according to Lipper data. Still, it has been a one-sided market all year. CLO issuance should surpass last year’s mark, according to Fitch, and there’s a good chance the investments will again deliver strong returns relative to more interest-rate sensitive bonds. But the “smart money” has been reaping profits for years. You don’t want to risk being the one holding the bag when that reverses." https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-07-10/clos-have-hit-a-peak-when-mom-and-pop-show-up
  7. Colmeia 19 de novembro de 2018 at 19:11 G E E L E Ray Dalio vê paralelos entre momento atual dos mercados e 1930’s. Fundador do The Bridgewater Associates levanta grandes questões sobre os níveis globais de endividamento. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-11-19/ray-dalio-of-bridgewater-sees-parallels-to-1930s-in-markets-now Investidor 19 de novembro de 2018 at 21:25 Mais G.E.E.L.E. Netflix’s ‘death cross’ is the third for FAANG stocks and Nasdaq Composite is next By Tomi Kilgore Published: Nov 19, 2018 4:11 pm ET Colmeia 19 de novembro de 2018 at 21:34 … e a Apple : Apple Shares Near Bear Market Territory Apple Inc. shares dropped close to bear market territory Monday on concern consumers are no longer clamoring for its cornerstone product, the iPhone. The stock closed at a record of $232.07 on Oct. 3. Since then it’s plunged almost 20 percent — the official bear market threshold — as multiple suppliers indicated the company is cutting parts orders for the latest iPhones.
  8. Ambicioso projeto chinês "Belt and Road infrastructure initiative (BRI)", também conhecido como One Belt, One Road (OBOR) - que na prática avança o império chinês pra diversos países da Ásia, África, Oriente Médio, etc. https://www.theguardian.com/cities/ng-interactive/2018/jul/30/what-china-belt-road-initiative-silk-road-explainer https://www.breitbart.com/national-security/2018/11/16/study-chinas-belt-road-infrastructure-project-running-low-funding/
  9. Mineirausfall

    G.E.E.L.E. -  Global Economics Extinction Level Event

    G.E.E.L.E. News from Tcháina. https://amp.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/2173461/china-underestimating-its-us3-trillion-dollar-debt-and-could https://coingape.com/global-debt-historic-high-china-acquiring-massive-amount-gold/amp/ http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/will-china-s-economic-slowdown-lead-to-a-major-crisis
  10. Mineirausfall

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    Cursos de Python, por Jack. https://www.muquiranas.com/trabalho-dos-sonhos-triunfo-livre-mercado/#comment-55946
  11. Mineirausfall

    Links

    Comparação entre corretoras, por Hidden. https://www.muquiranas.com/pt-quer-suspender-decreto-contra-pcc-e-comando-vermelho/#comment-55731
  12. Axio

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    The Misbehavior of Markets: A Fractal View of Financial Turbulence by Benoit Mandelbrot The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms by Nassim Nicholas Taleb Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder by Nassim Nicholas Taleb Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life by Nassim Nicholas Taleb Alguns capítulos: https://medium.com/@nntaleb O Q&A no final são excelentes.
  13. Investidor 11 de novembro de 2018 at 12:53
  14. Axio

    IVVB11 - ETF - BlackRock

    "(v) Emissão e resgate – a emissão e o resgate de Cotas em cada Fundo somente poderão ser efetuados junto à Administradora através dos Agentes Autorizados em Lotes Mínimos de Cotas (atualmente 100.000 Cotas) ou múltiplos inteiros destes, salvo no caso de liquidação do Fundo. Os Agentes Autorizados podem juntar dois ou mais investidores para formar um Lote Mínimo de Cotas, mas ainda assim esses Cotistas podem não conseguir subscrever ou resgatar suas Cotas no momento em que desejarem fazê-lo ou quando for mais favorável fazê-lo. Para maiores informações sobre os fatores de risco envolvidos no investimento no Fundo, vide a Seção "Fatores de Risco" na página do Fundo na rede mundial de computadores." https://www.blackrock.com/br/literature/fact-sheet/ivvb11-ishares-s-p-500-fi-em-cotas-de-fundo-de-ndice-inv-no-exterior-fund-fact-sheet-pt-lm.pdf https://www.blackrock.com/br/literature/fact-sheet/ivvb11-ishares-s-p-500-fi-em-cotas-de-fundo-de-ndice-inv-no-exterior-fund-fact-sheet-en-lm.pdf
  15. Mineirausfall

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    "How the specter of Communism is ruling our world". Indicação de BubbleObserver. https://www.muquiranas.com/jornalista-cnn-discute-com-trump-e-tem-credencial-suspensa/#comment-54990
  16. Mineirausfall

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    "Os Mercadores da Noite", de Ivan Sant'Anna. O Hidden tinha indicado. https://queroficarrico.com/blog/os-mercadores-da-noite/
  17. Mineirausfall

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    "O Comercio do Açúcar Brasil, Portugal e Países Baixos (1595-1630)", indicação do Bomberman. https://www.muquiranas.com/moro-quebra-sigilo-delacao-palocci/#comment-42256
  18. Mineirausfall

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    "Homo Tempus", de autoria do bolhista Jacob. https://www.muquiranas.com/funcionarios-do-google-fazem-greve/#comment-53312
  19. Mineirausfall

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    Livros sobre o mastermind bananense ("1964 - O Elo Perdido", "Os Bruzundangas" e "O Cortiço"), por Axio e Amy Rose. https://www.muquiranas.com/mourao-defende-nova-constituicao-sem-assembleia-constituinte/#comment-36179
  20. Mineirausfall

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    Livro da Suno sobre FII, por Windville. https://www.muquiranas.com/assumam-isentos-bolsonaro-venceu-essa-eleicao/#comment-39606
  21. Mineirausfall

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    "Proposta de Constituição de um novo país chamado Brasil", por Renan Spolon. https://www.muquiranas.com/a-cara-do-nosso-jornalismo-claudia-wild/#comment-20470 "Viagem de D. Pedro II ao ES", por Hidden. https://www.muquiranas.com/a-cara-do-nosso-jornalismo-claudia-wild/#comment-20538
  22. Mineirausfall

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    Década Perdida, por MrCitan. https://www.muquiranas.com/fgts-para-imovel-ate-15-milhao/#comment-53127 Trampolim no Espaço, por Bomberman. https://www.muquiranas.com/fgts-para-imovel-ate-15-milhao/#comment-53221
  23. Mineirausfall

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    Debate sobre livros conservadores, por Renan Spolon. https://www.muquiranas.com/licao-de-forrest-gump-seu-merito-mais-seu-do-que-outros-pensam/#comment-3539
  24. Mineirausfall

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    Livros infantis com temática conservadora, por Viking. https://www.muquiranas.com/numero-de-lares-que-dependem-da-renda-de-aposentados-cresce-12-em-um-ano/#comment-13191
  25. Mineirausfall

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    "Professor não é Educador", de Armindo Moreira. https://www.muquiranas.com/brasil-e-sua-sociedade-desestruturada/
  26. Mineirausfall

    Indicações de livros e documentários

    História da América Latina (Julio e MrCitan). https://www.muquiranas.com/semaninha-boa-hein/#comment-53572
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